Schedule

09:00 - 09:20 Introduction to the workshop and prediction challenge
Opening remarks by Jan Van Haaren.
Download the slides.
09:20 - 09:40 Generalised Linear Model for Predicting Football Matches
Prediction challenge paper by Antoine Adam.
Download the paper and the slides.
09:40 - 10:00 Feature Extraction and Aggregation for Predicting the EURO 2016
Prediction challenge paper by Maryam Tavakol, Hamid Zafartavanaelmi and Ulf Brefeld.
Download the paper and the slides.
10:00 - 10:20 EURO 2016 Predictions Using Team Rating Systems
Prediction challenge paper by Jan Lasek.
Download the paper and the slides.
10:20 - 10:40 The Player Kernel: Learning Team Strengths Based on Implicit Player Contributions
Prediction challenge paper by Lucas Maystre, Victor Kristof, Antonio J. Gonzalez Ferrer and Matthias Grossglauser.
Download the paper and the slides.
10:40 - 11:00 Coffee break
11:00 - 11:20 Applications of Machine Learning in DOTA 2: Literature Review and Practical Knowledge Sharing
Extended abstract by Aleksandr Semenov, Peter Romov, Kirill Neklyudov, Daniil Yashkov and Daniil Kireev.
Download the paper and the slides.
11:20 - 11:40 Predicting the Outcome of ODI Cricket Matches: A Team Composition Based Approach
Long paper by Madan Gopal Jhanwar and Vikram Pudi.
Download the paper and the slides.
11:40 - 12:00 Explaining Soccer Match Outcomes With Goal Scoring Opportunities Predictive Analytics
Long paper by Harm Eggels, Ruud van Elk and Mykola Pechenizkiy.
Download the paper.
12:00 - 12:20 Qualitative Spatial Reasoning for Soccer Pass Prediction
Long paper by Vincent Vercruyssen, Luc De Raedt and Jesse Davis.
Download the paper and the slides.
12:20 - 12:40 Decision Making in American Football: Evidence from 7 Years of NFL Data
Long paper by Konstantinos Pelechrinis.
Download the paper and the slides.
12:40 - 14:20 Lunch break
14:20 - 15:20 Data Mining and Sports Analytics — Bridging the gap between science and practice
Invited talk by Dr. Daniel Link (Technical University of Munich)

Performance analysis plays an important role in sports. Observing and analysing tactical behaviour can generate useful information that can be used for managing training processes and developing match strategies. The technological innovations of recent years - in particular, advances in the field of position tracking - present new challenges when it comes to analysing and interpreting this data. These include such questions as how clubs can best exploit the possibilities on offer to analyse game tactics, manage training processes and make better transfer decisions, how media companies can use this information to offer better and more innovative match coverage products and how new scientific insights into the nature of sporting phenomena in general and the factors that influence performance can be gained.

There has been increased activity in this area in recent years on the part of both the Competition Information Providers (CIP) and the scientific community. Companies are incorporating advanced methods of analysis into their software tools and an increasing number of publications in the academic sphere are reporting success in detecting tactical structures in raw data. Two phenomena can be observed here: the CIPs tend to be quick to launch products - chiefly in an attempt to gain a business advantage by regularly releasing new products - that lack scientific validation, or for which definition is ambiguous or tenuous. There are, on the other hand, approaches being used in the academic community that seem to support scientific profiling, but that do not reflect the framework within which sport managers, coaches and players are compelled to act. The challenge for the data mining and knowledge engineering community lies in using intelligent algorithms in order to derive complex performance indicators from the raw data that add value when it comes to "real" game analysis.

Against this background the talk firstly gives an overview about performance analysis (PA), proposes a structural model of PA and discusses the related epistemological issues. Secondly, the presentation gives insights into the game observation process and the software tools, that were used by the 2016 German Olympic Teams in beach volleyball to improve their performance during the Games. Thirdly, it presents a project being part of an innovation program in German football Bundesliga, which intended to develop smart performance indicators for professional clubs based on spatiotemporal data. Both examples lead to a discussion what kind of information is needed by sport scientists, coaches, analysts and players from data sciences. Finally, potential cooperation models between the scientific communities of sport science and computer sciences are presented.

15:20 - 15:40 Detecting Key Strategic Events in HearthStone Matches
Long paper by Boris Doux, Clement Gautrais and Benjamin Negrevergne.
Download the paper and the slides.
15:40 - 16:00 Wages of Wins: Could an Amateur Make Money From Match Outcome Predictions?
Long paper by Albrecht Zimmermann.
Download the paper and the slides.
16:00 - 16:20 Coffee break
16:20 - 16:40 Marathon Performance Prediction of Amateur Runners based on Training Session Data
Long paper by Daniel Ruiz-Mayo, Estrella Pulido and Gonzalo Martínez-Muñoz.
Download the paper.
16:40 - 17:00 Does Training Affect Match Performance? A Study Using Data Mining And Tracking Devices
Long paper by Javier Fernández, Daniel Medina, Antonio Gómez, Marta Arias and Ricard Gavaldà.
Download the paper and the slides.
17:00 - 17:20 Cardiac Parameters Identification for Fitness Assessment
Long paper by Dimitri de Smet, Marc Francaux, Julien M. Hendrickx and Michel Verleysen.
Download the paper and the slides.
17:20 - 17:40 Wrap up and discussion
Cancelled Data Mining in Stabilometry: Application to Patient Balance Study for Sports Talent Mapping
Long paper by Juan Alfonso Lara Torralbo, José María Barreiro, David de La Peña and David Lizcano.
Download the paper and the slides.